# CFA Franc Zone Z₁ Projections to 2060

## Cross-Sectional Dispersion

| Decade | Z₁ Mean | Z₁ Std Dev | N Countries |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2000 | -2.8046 | 0.2025 | 14 |
| 2010 | -2.9776 | 0.2727 | 14 |
| 2020 | -3.2167 | 0.3427 | 14 |
| 2030 | -3.4263 | 0.3994 | 14 |
| 2040 | -2.4319 | 0.4114 | 14 |
| 2050 | -2.4258 | 0.3932 | 14 |
| 2060 | -2.3640 | 0.3748 | 14 |

## Country Z₁ Levels

| Country | Sub | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 |
|:---|:---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| BEN | W | -2.819 | -2.965 | -3.193 | -3.393 | -2.394 | -2.408 | -2.360 |
| BFA | W | -2.933 | -3.140 | -3.356 | -3.420 | -2.310 | -2.197 | -2.044 |
| CAF | C | -2.859 | -3.175 | -3.763 | -4.224 | -3.277 | -3.190 | -3.017 |
| CIV | W | -3.053 | -3.143 | -3.175 | -3.356 | -2.410 | -2.506 | -2.535 |
| CMR | C | -2.798 | -3.004 | -3.230 | -3.428 | -2.409 | -2.393 | -2.335 |
| COG | C | -2.715 | -2.773 | -3.038 | -3.231 | -2.291 | -2.355 | -2.352 |
| GAB | C | -2.334 | -2.447 | -2.631 | -2.832 | -1.853 | -1.927 | -1.943 |
| GNB | W | -2.768 | -2.955 | -3.088 | -3.176 | -2.078 | -1.991 | -1.880 |
| GNQ | C | -2.514 | -2.525 | -2.691 | -2.941 | -2.032 | -2.127 | -2.151 |
| MLI | W | -2.921 | -3.237 | -3.582 | -3.860 | -2.906 | -2.887 | -2.794 |
| NER | W | -2.999 | -3.304 | -3.603 | -3.860 | -2.849 | -2.772 | -2.625 |
| SEN | W | -2.774 | -2.861 | -3.032 | -3.133 | -2.052 | -1.951 | -1.833 |
| TCD | C | -3.077 | -3.339 | -3.640 | -3.907 | -2.935 | -2.939 | -2.888 |
| TGO | W | -2.701 | -2.819 | -3.012 | -3.208 | -2.252 | -2.318 | -2.338 |

*W=WAEMU, C=CEMAC. Z₁ from UN WPP population projections. CFA countries are younger (lower Z₁) than EMU — testing whether amplification works for youth-driven divergence.*